Clevis White
Food and beverage industry: growth in line with expected future growth assured
Food and beverage industry a quarter of industry data released, we commented as follows: one quarter of output and operating food and beverage industry index published. From the production situation, the main alcoholic beverages, dairy products and meat and aquatic products to maintain high growth. Increase the level of the majority of more than 2009 in the same period. Of which:
1, liquor — rapid growth, industry concentration has improved rapidly
Production of 2,081,900 tons in the first quarter. An increase of 27.72%. We believe that this growth can not explain the increase wine consumption, can only show that industry concentration is still accelerating increase. Regional stronger liquor company is still in high-speed expansion period. We continue to recommend Shanxi Fen (600,809, stock it), to the Yang shares (002,304, stock it) Overweight rating. The former is in the company to improve the stage, the rising trend is very clear; nationwide marketing network layout which basically completed, with strong financial strength, sales, revenues and profits will continue to maintain rapid growth.
2, steady growth with low beer —- no suspense, the brand will continue to reflect the importance of production of 8,399,300 tons in the first quarter, up 7.30%, 5.32% year on year increase slightly. We maintain the industry matured, steady growth with low to judge.
Industry profit margins to improve various measures to reduce the degree —, shrinkage, material substitution, product mix optimization and absolute price increases, have been used almost the same. Future revenue and profit growth will mainly come from further increase the proportion of high-end products. However, more dependent on the growth of high-end beer brand, Tsingtao Brewery and we continue to favor (600 600, stock it).
3, 2010 — Wine million tons mark for the first time
Output of 225,200 tons in the first quarter, up 13.2%, recovering alcoholic beverages is the most obvious species, an increase second only to white wine. First quarter of last year, wine consumption by the financial crisis fell 4.75%. But in July soon after the resumption of wine consumption. We expect the annual wine production must more than 1 million tons, expected to reach 1.1 million tons. But we see the industry output is still low relative to imports. Note by the import of wine affect the wine industry is still great. Not likely-than-expected industry. Changyu A due to its international vision, and advanced concepts in the industry, by the negative impact of lower imports of wine. We maintain our overweight rating on the company.
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